Nfl Prop Bets 2017

I've never bet on football before - besides Fantasy Football, the closest I've ever gotten to 'gambling' is the $5 Super Bowl boxes at my office. Recently, though, I learned all about prop bets and couldn't resist diving in.

1. Nfl Prop Bets 2019
2. Nfl Prop Bets 2017 2019
3. Nfl Prop Bets 2017 Fantasy
4. Nfl Prop Bets 2020 Draft
5. Nfl Prop Bets 2020

NFL Props: Early Look at 2017 MVP Odds Last year's MVP race in the NFL featured several viable candidates, and there should be plenty of deserving candidates this season as well. SportsLine analyst Josh Nagel takes a look at the early future odds for the award and provides his initial observations. The NFL season is a favorite time of year for both sports fans and sports bettors, and every year it seems prop bets get more and more ridiculous. Related Posts FCS: The HBCU's Top 2021 NFL.

Prop bets, for those unfamiliar, aren't related to overs and unders or the moneylines of games each week. Instead, they're wagers that a particular event will happen. And when I say 'events', I mean anything - you can bet on the number of touchdowns Odell Beckham Jr. will score this season, whether any team will go 19-0, and even how many games Mitch Trubisky is going to start for the Bears.

Armed with knowledge of what prop bets are, but without the common sense to not throw my money away, I went to Bovada to place a few bets on the season. I figured I would make a bunch of small bets focusing on a few 'sure things' and a couple more wildcards, and think I generally succeeded at making that happen. I was pleasantly surprised that Bovada was offering a 1:1 match on deposits, so I was able to turn my $75 deposit into $150 of entry credit. Who knows if I'll ever be able to pull that money out, but it was fun to double the amount of bets I expected to make.

So - without any further ado, here are my 2017 NFL prop bets, grouped by level of confidence:

Sure Things

Aaron Rodgers for MVP (+500): $10 - Rodgers at this price feels like a slam dunk to me. I think the Patriots will be careful to manage Brady's role this season to keep him fresh, and a continued focus on the running game in New England limits his touchdown ceiling. Rodgers, on the other hand, has a wideout playing running back in his backfield, and is on a team that needs to win through the air each week. Plus, any human that can do this shouldn't be bet against:

FACT: It doesn't get any better than this Jared Cook sideline grab.
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Worst Team has Over 13.5 Losses (-140): $15 - Have you seen the Jets roster? They just traded their second best player away so that they wouldn't accidentally win any games. I'm seeing 2-14 as a best cases scenario for them, and snatched up the under on this bet.

Jets Under 4.5 Wins (-275): $20 - See the above. I'm taking the money here.

Most Passing Yards (Regular Season) - Drew Brees (+325): $15 - Brees has as many 5,000 yard seasons as the rest of the league combined. I think it's reasonable to expect Matt Ryan to regress slightly without Kyle Shanahan, and Aaron Rodgers has never been a huge yardage maven. Even without Brandin Cooks, I'm buying Brees topping 5,000 yards again and leading the league.

Feeling Good

Most Receiving Touchdowns (Regular Season) - Rob Gronkowski (+900): $5 - Nine to one odds seems much too high for the most dominant touchdown scorer of his generation. Assuming Gronk is active for at least a dozen games this season, I like his odds to rack up 12-15 TDs and have a puchers chance at taking this home.

Joe Flacco Under 4200 Passing Yards (Regular Season) (-155): $10 - After seeing Ryan Mallet show off his 'skills' this preseason, the Ravens are dying to have Flacco back in the saddle this season. While Flacco led the league in pass attempts last season, I think the Ravens have realized that was a mistake and will look to be more run-heavy this season. Decidedly non-'Elite' talent and a reduced workload? Doesn't sound like 4,200+ yards to me.

Most Recieving Yards - A.J. Green (+1800): $5 - These odds feel way too high for one of the most dominant pass catchers in the NFL. If he can avoid the injuries that plagued him last season, Green is a lethal deep threat that should rack up yardage in big chunks. Were Andrew Luck healthy, I'd be tempted to go with T.Y. Hilton here, but with Luck out for the time being Hilton is off the table.

Tom Brady under 4,750 Passing Yards (-115): $5 - As mentioned earlier, I think the Patriots lean pretty run-heavy this season and try to limit TB12's usage late in the year. Surrounded by new weapons, I can see Brady having an incredible season, just not one defined by passing yardage.

Could Happen

Washington Redskins make the Playoffs (+300): $15 - I'm betting here more on blind faith than any sort of reason… I will say this bet will probably make me the happiest if it comes true. From a non-biased perspective, the Redskins have the talent on offensive to pull this off, it will come down to how the defense performs throughout the season. If Jonathan Allen can shore up the interior of the defense and Josh Norman is able to take Dez Bryant/Odell Beckham/Alshon Jeffery out of games, the Skins have a real shot at a Wild Card berth.

Luke Kuechly wins Defensive Player of the Year (+1400): $4 - This should be J.J. Watt's award to win, assuming he is back to full health. But at such a low price, I'm buying Kuechly stock. If the Panther's offense can bounce back and help propel them to the playoffs, Kuechly will get a lot of publicity for his dominance stabilizing their defense.

Most Interceptions (Regular Season) - Eli Manning(+550): $3

Most Interceptions (Regular Season)- Drew Brees (+1600): $2

When thinking about who might contend for this award, I tried to combine expected passing volume this season with track record of inaccuracy. Eli fits that bill perfectly, and while Brees may be a hyper-accurate passer, he also gets burned trying to force the ball into windows that are too small.

Most Recieving Touchdowns - Dez Bryant (+1200): $5 - Whenever Zeke finally sits out for his six game suspension, expect the Cowboys offense to run through Dez. Never a huge yardage guy, I expect his biggest contribution this season will be physically dominant play in the red zone. The tough defenses in the NFC East are a concern, but I expect Dez will get enough looks to contend with Gronk and the rest on TDs, especially at +1200.

Russell Wilson wins Most Valuable Player (+1600): $10 - Pete Carroll knows that his patchwork backfield of Thomas Rawls, Eddie Lacy, Prosise, and Carson isn't enough to anchor his offense as Marshawn Lynch once did. I expect Wilson will take another leap as a creative playmaker and on increased passing volume will record an outstanding statistical season. Combined with the Seahawks' typically fantastic defense (which is excited to get Earl Thomas back), I can see Wilson riding a 4,500 yard, 35 TD season to a first round bye and the MVP award.

Long Shots

Mike Mularkey wins Coach of the Year (+1600): $5

Dirk Koetter wins Coach of the Year (+2000): $5

If this award was given on merit, Belichek and Popovich would win every season. However, we've seen the media lean towards giving this to coaches who get their teams to 'make the leap', and as such I've targeted two coaches of rising young teams. If either of these squads go 11-5 and make a run in the playoffs, they should get a strong look for Coach of the Year.

DeShaun Waton wins Offensive Rookie of the Year (+1200): $3 - Looking back, this is the only pick I really hate. While I believe in Watson as a player, I'm not sure he'll get the opportunity to start stacking numbers from day one. If Watson can knock off Tom Savage sooner rather than later, I can see him earning the award as a congratulations for running what is sure to be an improved Texans team. But if Wawtson has to wait, I wouldn't be shocked to see one of the many young running backs run away with the award.

Most Rushing Yards - Todd Gurley (+2000): $4

Most Rushing Yards - Leonard Fournette (+3300): $4

Most Rushing Yards - Isiah Crowell (+5000): $4

Predicting running back performance is basically impossible at this point, so I've bought into 3 young runners that should be big-time bellcows for their teams. Assuming Le'Veon Bell or David Johnson don't run away with this one, I like the chance of one of these young guys blowing up and stealing the RB yardage belt. Plus, a $132 payout on a $4 on Fournette bet has crazy high upside.

Keenan Allen most Recieving Yards (+5000): $5 - Fifty to one! If Allen has the bounce-back year many are expecting, he should easily be in the top 10 in the league in yardage. Throw in injury potential for other contenders like OBJ, Julio, and Hilton, and I like Allen's chances at making a splash even as a longshot.

The NFL is back! This page will provide betting odds and player props from legal US betting sites as well as tips and insights to help you put your money in the right place throughout the season.

On this page we'll highlight the key regular-season player passing props and QB futures (eg. who will win the league MVP). Then, during the regular season, we'll add the list of weekly passing props as well as advantageous matchups, key injuries, and other relevant factors to consider.

Search QB passing props

Already have an idea of who you want to bet on? Search for a player below and we'll direct you to the best betting odds for every possible way to bet on that player. Happy shopping!

Nfl Prop Bets 2019

QB passing props 2020

Click the tab in the table below to view more NFL betting props.

Most QB passing yards

The bet itself is pretty straightforward – the NFL player with the most passing yards after every team finishes their Week 17 games wins this bet. Looking back at last year's winner, Jameis Winston threw the ball 626 times for 5,109 yards. Most sportsbooks had him at (+1000) to lead the league in passing yards, about fifth on the list of QBs most likely to do so. That means for every $100 placed on the Bucs starting QB to throw for the most yards yielded the bettor $1000 (eg. a $500 wager returned $5,000).

Odds for placing a futures bet will always be juicy considering fans haven't seen any of their potential choices play a meaningful snap in at least 8 months. But Jameis's 2019 odds were actually seen as fantastic to most sharks who felt the market was offering a discount on him due to his polarizing stature in the NFL world, which lowered his odds too far.

Most QB passing touchdowns

Also pretty straightforward, the NFL player with the most passing touchdowns after every team finishes their Week 17 games wins this bet. Interestingly, over the last 12 seasons only Drew Brees has led the league in passing TDs twice, doing it back-to-back in 2011 and 2012. Last year's winner, Lamar Jackson with 36 throws for touchdowns, didn't even have odds available since they were so astronomical.

QB totals: Passing yards over/under

Most Interceptions (Regular Season) - Eli Manning(+550): $3

Most Interceptions (Regular Season)- Drew Brees (+1600): $2

When thinking about who might contend for this award, I tried to combine expected passing volume this season with track record of inaccuracy. Eli fits that bill perfectly, and while Brees may be a hyper-accurate passer, he also gets burned trying to force the ball into windows that are too small.

Most Recieving Touchdowns - Dez Bryant (+1200): $5 - Whenever Zeke finally sits out for his six game suspension, expect the Cowboys offense to run through Dez. Never a huge yardage guy, I expect his biggest contribution this season will be physically dominant play in the red zone. The tough defenses in the NFC East are a concern, but I expect Dez will get enough looks to contend with Gronk and the rest on TDs, especially at +1200.

Russell Wilson wins Most Valuable Player (+1600): $10 - Pete Carroll knows that his patchwork backfield of Thomas Rawls, Eddie Lacy, Prosise, and Carson isn't enough to anchor his offense as Marshawn Lynch once did. I expect Wilson will take another leap as a creative playmaker and on increased passing volume will record an outstanding statistical season. Combined with the Seahawks' typically fantastic defense (which is excited to get Earl Thomas back), I can see Wilson riding a 4,500 yard, 35 TD season to a first round bye and the MVP award.

Long Shots

Mike Mularkey wins Coach of the Year (+1600): $5

Dirk Koetter wins Coach of the Year (+2000): $5

If this award was given on merit, Belichek and Popovich would win every season. However, we've seen the media lean towards giving this to coaches who get their teams to 'make the leap', and as such I've targeted two coaches of rising young teams. If either of these squads go 11-5 and make a run in the playoffs, they should get a strong look for Coach of the Year.

DeShaun Waton wins Offensive Rookie of the Year (+1200): $3 - Looking back, this is the only pick I really hate. While I believe in Watson as a player, I'm not sure he'll get the opportunity to start stacking numbers from day one. If Watson can knock off Tom Savage sooner rather than later, I can see him earning the award as a congratulations for running what is sure to be an improved Texans team. But if Wawtson has to wait, I wouldn't be shocked to see one of the many young running backs run away with the award.

Most Rushing Yards - Todd Gurley (+2000): $4

Most Rushing Yards - Leonard Fournette (+3300): $4

Most Rushing Yards - Isiah Crowell (+5000): $4

Predicting running back performance is basically impossible at this point, so I've bought into 3 young runners that should be big-time bellcows for their teams. Assuming Le'Veon Bell or David Johnson don't run away with this one, I like the chance of one of these young guys blowing up and stealing the RB yardage belt. Plus, a $132 payout on a $4 on Fournette bet has crazy high upside.

Keenan Allen most Recieving Yards (+5000): $5 - Fifty to one! If Allen has the bounce-back year many are expecting, he should easily be in the top 10 in the league in yardage. Throw in injury potential for other contenders like OBJ, Julio, and Hilton, and I like Allen's chances at making a splash even as a longshot.

The NFL is back! This page will provide betting odds and player props from legal US betting sites as well as tips and insights to help you put your money in the right place throughout the season.

On this page we'll highlight the key regular-season player passing props and QB futures (eg. who will win the league MVP). Then, during the regular season, we'll add the list of weekly passing props as well as advantageous matchups, key injuries, and other relevant factors to consider.

Search QB passing props

Already have an idea of who you want to bet on? Search for a player below and we'll direct you to the best betting odds for every possible way to bet on that player. Happy shopping!

Nfl Prop Bets 2019

QB passing props 2020

Click the tab in the table below to view more NFL betting props.

Most QB passing yards

The bet itself is pretty straightforward – the NFL player with the most passing yards after every team finishes their Week 17 games wins this bet. Looking back at last year's winner, Jameis Winston threw the ball 626 times for 5,109 yards. Most sportsbooks had him at (+1000) to lead the league in passing yards, about fifth on the list of QBs most likely to do so. That means for every $100 placed on the Bucs starting QB to throw for the most yards yielded the bettor $1000 (eg. a $500 wager returned $5,000).

Odds for placing a futures bet will always be juicy considering fans haven't seen any of their potential choices play a meaningful snap in at least 8 months. But Jameis's 2019 odds were actually seen as fantastic to most sharks who felt the market was offering a discount on him due to his polarizing stature in the NFL world, which lowered his odds too far.

Most QB passing touchdowns

Also pretty straightforward, the NFL player with the most passing touchdowns after every team finishes their Week 17 games wins this bet. Interestingly, over the last 12 seasons only Drew Brees has led the league in passing TDs twice, doing it back-to-back in 2011 and 2012. Last year's winner, Lamar Jackson with 36 throws for touchdowns, didn't even have odds available since they were so astronomical.

QB totals: Passing yards over/under

In this market, bettors can select a specific quarterback and find a set number designated as his O/U total. For instance, Patrick Mahomes, the consensus best QB in the league, will likely receive the largest futures O/U total on most gambling sites. His O/U total will likely be around 4,500 yards, allowing you to choose between Over that amount or Under it. If you think Mahomes will throw for more than 4,500 yards and he throws 4,501 yards or more, you're a winner. Once again, these futures bets will yield you great odds, often paying out a wager on the player with the highest odds at around (+500), eg. a $100 wager returns $500.

Once the regular season begins, there will be weekly O/U totals available for each player in this market as well. These payouts are usually much smaller, hovering around (+100) – (-250). The obvious benefit over playing futures bets, however, is that you have more context and recent examples to base your decisions upon throughout the season.

QB totals: Passing TDs over/under

Here we use the same concept as our previous market while using a different measurement. Taking Mahomes for our example once again, if his O/U total for touchdowns thrown is set at 35.5, you need to choose if you think he'll throw for Over or Under that total. If he throws for 35 TDs or less in this scenario, an Under bet will win. If he throws for 36 or more, an Over bet will win.

Once again, like the O/U for passing yards, there will be weekly passing touchdown props for players with accompanying advice throughout the season listed on this page.

Best NFL props betting sites

Who will throw for the most passing yards in 2020?

Let's take a deeper dive into a few futures passing bets, starting with which QB will throw for the most passing yards this upcoming season. The top four candidates most likely to end next season with the most passing yards are Patrick Mahomes, Dak Prescott, Matt Ryan, and Tom Brady. A couple of key factors to consider are things such as: The team's strength of schedule (specifically, the strength of the defenses they will face), offensive weapons, and overall philosophy – for example, does a team often step off the gas when winning and start running the ball in the second half or do they go for the kill and come out throwing in the pivotal 3rd quarter?

Pat Mahomes

Reigning Super Bowl MVP Pat Mahomes will likely be the unanimous favorite among odds makers and for good reason if you believe in those three considerations. The Chiefs' SOS is tied for 18th most difficult based on the 2019 records of their opponents. While the offseason comes with a ton of roster change in the NFL, it's still a relevant metric to consider. More importantly, Mahomes gets to play 6 games against teams who ranked in the bottom 10 against the pass last year in the Raiders (twice), Bucs, Dolphins, Saints, Falcons.

The third-year QB is also returning with a receiving core consisting of Tyreek Hill, Travis Kelce, Sammy Watkins, Mecole Hardman and Demarcus Robinson – that's an average of about a 4.4 40-yard dash time between them all. Despite missing two games and having a rough 4-game stretch in the middle of the 2019 season, Mahomes still put up 4,031 yards, good for 10th best. With his injury worries behind him and healthy offensive weapons surrounding him, the expectation coming into the 2020 season is that the now-veteran QB will put up numbers closer to 2018, his first season as a starter when he threw for more than 5,000 yards and 50 touchdowns threw the air alone.

Working hardest against Mahomes' chances at the NFL's passing yardage crown will be the defensive gauntlet the Chiefs will face at the beginning of the season. After opening the NFL season Week 1 against the Texans in a rematch of the 2019 AFC Championship Game, Kansas City will face four of the top six pass defenses from last year: The Chargers (5th), Ravens (6th), Pats (2nd), Bills (4th). A slow start to the season for Mahomes could put his chances in jeopardy, especially if he doesn't need to throw in the second half against the cupcake defenses he'll face in the latter part of the schedule.

Dak Prescott

Another popular pick for most yards passing will be the Cowboys' recently franchised QB Dak Prescott, who is set to make more than $31M on his one-year deal for the 2020 season. It's often risky to bet on a player who's coming off a contract signing, rather than playing hungry for his next contract. However, Dak likely sees his franchise tag as an insult considering he's been saying publicly for years he expects a long term contract worth way more than the cumulative $4.9M the Cowboys have paid him through his first four seasons. If he's going to ink a deal next season for the four-plus-years he claims he deserves, he'll need to show consistency for 16 more games and add some playoff wins to boot.

Lucky for Dak, he's going to have at least one of the NFL's top three set of skill positions around him this season to try and do so. Not only are the Cowboys returning two 1,000-yard receivers in Amari Cooper and Michael Gallup, they also spent their 1st-Round draft pick on rookie wideout CeeDee Lamb who is coming off a Junior season at Oklahoma that saw him put up 14 TDs on top of more than 1,300 yards receiving. Sprinkle in some Zeke Elliot, the league's second leading rusher last season and the only question is 'will there be enough balls to go around?'

Unfortunately for Cowboys' fans, it's probably a legitimate question when you consider the addition of new head coach Mike McCarthy. McCarthy became infamous amongst Packers fans over the last four seasons for failing to keep the ball in the hands of his QB Aaron Rodgers. Despite an underwhelming run-blocking offensive line and lackluster RBs before Aaron Jones' emergence, Rodgers would often throw the bulk of his pass attempts from behind after McCarthy overindulged in an unsuccessful run-game. The combination of lofty expectations and an impatient Cowboy's fan base could turn things ugly for McCarthy if Dallas's offense sputters out of the gate.

Matt Ryan

Matt Ryan will probably rank third on oddsmakers' lists here, his younger age and consistency with his organization giving him the edge over the ageless Tom Brady. While the Falcons SOS ranks as the fifth hardest this season, only the Cowboys, Bears, and Chargers make up returning top-10 pass defenses. In fact, they'll play seven games against bottom ten pass defenses from last season, once against the Seahawks, Lions, and Raiders, and twice against the Bucs and Saints.

The additions of tight end Hayden Hurst and running back Todd Gurly should cover up the holes left by Austin Hooper and Devonta Freeman respectively. Factor in another year of development for Ryan's young star receiver Calivin Ridley playing opposite the incomparable Julio Jones with a healthy O-line (unlike last year) and Ryan should put up even bigger numbers than his already impressive 2019 season.

Tom Brady

It seems insane to consider the greatest QB of all time a dark horse candidate for anything, but that's where we find ourselves when it comes to Tom Brady throwing for the most yards this season. His odds should be close to +1000 on many sites and we don't need to look further than the 2020 Buccaneers to understand why he's a great bet with those odds. The Bucs' SOS is in the middle of the pack at 16th and that shows in the balance of the pass defenses they'll face – seven games against returning bottom 10 pass defenses and five against returning top 10.

With the weapons currently on their roster, however, Brady and company won't need to focus on who they're playing nearly as much as who should get the ball. It's a good problem to have when you look at their returning stars and a couple of their new ones as well. Their two 1,000-yard receivers in Chris Godwin and Mike Evans are joined by their two returning tight ends in O.J. Howard and Cameron Brate, who combined for 1,100 yards and seven scores last year. Added to the mix will be running back LeSean McCoy and the recently unretired Rob Gronkowski, two players not far removed from being amongst the best at their respective positions.

This is all to say that betting on Brady to lead the league in passing comes down to one thing: Do you think the 43-year old can keep Father Time at bay one more season and that last year's poor statistical showing for the 6-time Super Bowl champion was the result of poor talent around him? If you answered yes, you could do a lot worse than the likely 10-1 odds that Brady will be the league's passing leader this season.

Nfl Prop Bets 2017 2019

Who will throw the most TDs in 2020?

We can easily assume those four QBs, barring injury, will at least be in the top 10 when it comes to yards this season, especially in their pass-happy offenses. Scoring in the red zone can be a bit more complicated, however, and as a result, predicting who will be able to punch it in through the air consistently can be as well. Luckily there has been a clear commonality among the league's passing touchdown leaders since 2016: They're all mobile quarterbacks.

Mobile QBs are the obvious trend these days with never-before-seen athletes like last year's winner Lamar Jackson putting up monster numbers in the air as well as on the ground. No longer will you see three straight fade routes to the corner of the end zone from the 5-yard line. Instead, offensive coordinators are calling designed rollouts for their mobile QBs while sending their WRs criss-crossing around to create chaos within the defense as they try to account for speed at every position.

Expect to see the legend-in-the-making, Mahomes, back at the top of this wager on most legal American betting sites. He'll likely be accompanied by the other three QBs we've already gone over in Prescott, Ryan, and Brady, but there are two other names worth mentioning and they're both former passing touchdown champs: The Ravens' Jackson and the Seahawks' Russell Wilson, who won it in 2017.

Nfl Prop Bets 2017 Fantasy

Jackson is returning all the key members of his offense, including big TE Mark Andrews who caught a career-high 10 TDs last season. A second offseason of workouts for Jackson with his top two wideouts Marquise Brown and Willie Snead IV should only improve upon his impressive numbers last year.

Nfl Prop Bets 2020 Draft

Wilson, meanwhile, is also returning his key offensive weapons at wideout and might even be better primed than Jackson to outdo last season's performance in 2020. Tyler Lockett's emergence into a legit WR1 freed up rookie wideout D.K. Metcalf to play as a legit WR2 helping him post 900 yards receiving and catch 7 TDs. With the way coaches and trainers have raved about Metcalf's work ethic (and let's be honest, his monster physique is a tell-tale sign in itself), it's likely Wilson will now have two legit WR1s at his disposal and exceed his 31 TDs from last season.

Nfl Prop Bets 2020

NFL passing leaders history